(Bet tacker via Action Network app)
Betting regular season baseball is a GRIND. Multiple games a day, every day of the week, from now till October. It’s a marathon, not a sprint. If you are going to take it seriously, you need to be diligent and disciplined. Or…you can just follow us!
The Degenerate is now putting out a daily podcast analyzing and breaking down the MLB board.
You can find it on Spotify (see below) or follow us on Twitter @thedegenweekly.
Our betting style is kind of like a diet. Fundamentally it’s simple, but it’s not easy. We fade the public and often put ourselves on the side of the house. Meaning, when all the bets and all the money is on one side, we take the opposite. It’s not easy betting on teams like the Orioles, Rangers and Reds. But remember what the great Socrates once said: “The house always wins”.
Obviously baseball being every day, we needed to expand from just a weekly newsletter to give the people what they need and educated gamblers. That’s why we started the podcast and became more active on twitter. There’s a ton of information out there. We use various sites to the check all the betting data, analyze the dollar vs ticket count, and identify where the sharp money is. Everything you need to know before punching in your MLB bets is in our podcast.
NBA PLAYOFF UPDATE
Current Championship Odds:
Injury News:
Devin Booker — expected to miss 2-3 weeks
Khris Middleton — expected to miss 3-4 weeks
Luka Doncic — expected to return game 4
Ben Simmons — lol who knows, but apparently he’s coming back game 4
There has been a HUGE shakeup with the Championship odds due to these injuries. Couple that with that fact that the Warriors are up 3-0 in their series against the Nuggets and looking unstoppable - we now have them as the new favorite.
WE HAVE THOUGHTS:
Yes the Nets are down 2-0 to the Celtics, but do not count them out just yet. This series is far from over. If you wanted to make a small play on the Nets to comeback and win the series +340, we don’t hate it. Keep your ear to the streets and your eyes on twitter. You’ll find that Kevin Durant is getting shredded for his poor start to this series - especially game 2….
Just when the world is ready to write off one of the greatest players ever - that’s when we are ready to strike. The Nets were trendy dogs in both games 1 and 2. Fading them would have been the contrarian play, which gets our stamp of approval. Now we need to see where the money and tickets are going into game 3 as the series goes to Brooklyn. As long as the Nets are not too trendy - we are going to back them in both games to even things up 2-2.
The NBA Playoffs and the Degenerate have not been getting along…
This has not been a good start for contrarian bettors. The theme of these playoffs has been chalk, chalk and more chalk. One interesting note to point out is our system we mentioned in last weeks newsletter has been successful (again). If the favorite wins, they cover. If the underdog covers, they win outright. That system so far is 18/20.
NBA Favorites have been heavily bet, and are currently 19-7 ATS.
The trendiest dog thus far was the Dallas Mavericks last night (+6.5) in Utah, and they won outright LOL.
The public play has been the right play. Does this continue, or do we see a correction? That’s the 100 unit question. For now, we are sitting on the sideline and focusing on baseball.
ON THE HORIZON…
NFL DRAFT
Between May and August, the newsletter will be focusing primarily on Golf and updating the NBA and NHL Playoffs till we get back to football season. With that said, one of our favorite betting events is coming next week…THE NFL DRAFT!
We’ve had great success betting this in the past. This may surprise you, but even in the draft there’s ton of sharp money flowing in that we have our eyes on and will point out to you next week. Here’s a sneak peak for now:
NHL PLAYOFFS
The NHL season feels like it’s been going on for an eternity. The season had planned a 3 week break for the Winter Olympics, but due to Covid it ended up not participating. They put games together in that 3 week slot, but it’s still been weird.
The Playoffs are slated to start on Monday, April 29th. We will have our series previews in your inbox that morning.
Stay sharp, my friends!