84 Days till NFL Week 1, but thankfully there’s some fantastic NBA, NHL, the Euro’s and TWO Major Championships to keep us more than busy for the next month.
We’ve been on the struggle bus with golf picks this year. Got close with Brooks in the PGA Championship, but not close enough. Haven’t hit a winner all year, so you know what that means. We are fucking DUE.
Favorites (2 units):
-       Brooks 16/1 – Impossible to go into a major without a ticket on this guy. He missed the cut last week as a +750 favorite, but that’s not surprising. He doesn’t give a shit about that peasant crap. This is where Brooks gets tuned in.
-       Xander 18/1 – We bet on X a lot last year. He just can’t fucking close. Loves finishing top 10, but doesn’t have the nuts to lock it up. Always a bridesmaid, never a bride. Well, similar to us picking winners, Xander is also due.
-       Morikawa 22/1 – From what we understand, this is a VERY difficult golf course. You want a guy who rarely makes mistakes and is money with irons. Sounds like Kawa to us! Sure, he can be hot/cold with the putter, but as long as he stays out of the rough, we see value here.
Middle Men (1 unit):
-       Matsuyama 40/1 – If he’s dialed in, he is terrifying. See above with Morikawa, this course is a bear. Need a machine who can dial it in with the irons.
-       Scottie Scheffler 40/1 – Scottie too hottie is ready to shine this weekend. We can feel it in our plums.
Longshots (.5 units): Â
-       Willie Z – 40/1 - Just a fun guy who you will regret not taking if he’s in the hunt on Sunday.
-       Berger – 50/1 (extra cheese this weekend)
-       Conners – 80/1 – We actually love Conners. Dude has been playing great golf this year. He’s also +220 to finish top 20. Do it.
-       Niemann – 70/1 - Worth the dart.
We heard a few golf sharps like Brian Harman this weekend, so we’ll go ahead and throw a bag of nickels on him top 20 +300. You can have more fun taking him to win outright if you’d like. Seems like this course suits him well. Fading Fatrick who also seems to be a popular pick at 33/1. And Bryson is +300 to miss the cut.
NBA - Finals MVP
What a long strange, trip it’s been - Kawhi might be short an ACL, CP3 has Covid, and the Net’s are down to 1.25 superstars. Not all books offer it, but if you can find NBA Finals MVP odds, there may be a few darts worth throwing.
CP3 +1100 - He was 18/1 before game 4 against the Nuggets, then dropped to +750. Now he’s sitting around +1100 with the Covid news. Keep in mind the Suns have a few days of rest before the Western Conference Finals. Sure Booker is the scorer, but Chris Paul is what keeps this offense in check.
Harden +3500 - I know I know, Durant is the best player in the world. Harden spent every second of Game 5 nursing his hammy, BUT…this is about as low as you can buy on a guy with MVP potential. Most people don’t know this, but Harden was once +450 to win the NBA MVP this season before he got hurt. The Nets were ROLLING when Kyrie and KD were both hurt.
NHL - Conn Smythe Winner (NHL Playoff MVP)
As of now, all the goalies are favored, and rightfully so. But Fleury could cool off, Varlamov could shit his pants and Carey Price ain’t making it. Vasilevsky could win it if the Bolts win, but that’s no fun at +400.
We like the value on these skill players:
Max Pacioretty +1900 - Pure. Goal. Scorer. Mark Stone is arguably the Knights best player, but Max puts ‘em in the back of the net.
Mathew Barzal +2900 - This guys is a fucking STUD. He’s already scored against the Bolts and has been dazzling with the puck. Gotta LOVE this number.
Brayden Point +3400 - Are you kidding me? 34/1?! Again, if the Bolts win it all, the award will probably go to Vasy because he’s been unbelievable. But aside from goaltending, Point has been doing it all on the ice for the Lightning. Kucherov is also worth considering at 14/1, but this number on Point is too much to pass on.