Welcome to The Degenerate - Each week we’ll give you a few picks, insights, trends, and what to watch for on Sunday. Full disclosure - neither of us claim to be experts. We’re just two guys who’ve spent many years betting like chumps, and now we are passionate about helping others to avoid being one.
Hope you’ve got a big net – because week 6 if full of fish. We’re talking the big ole stinky kind. Remember, if something is too go to be true, it usually is. Get your head out of your ass and think like the odds-makers. Lot’s of traps out there and this week has all the makings of a massacre for Joe Public.
New Coach Alert - Falcons @ Vikings - 4
If you followed our Texans pick last week then you know the Falcons are an auto pick after firing Dan Quinn. Not that Raheem Morris is any better, but again, it doesn’t matter. Teams can wake up for a week after they make a necessary change. Look for the Falcons to turn the page on the 28-3 Super Bowl runner-up era.
Pick: Falcons +4
It’s never this easy - Texans @ Titans -3
How good did the 4-0 Titans just look on Tuesday night? Awesome, right? No way they could follow up that dominating win against Buffalo with a loss to 1-4 Houston, right? Wrong. This line stinks so much it makes Brandon’s farts smell like a candle. Don’t get greedy and take Houston ML though – this could be a wacky finish. Take the points. Hell, we’re buying 1.5 and getting it to 4.5.
PICK: Texans +4.5 (buy 1.5 points)
But sometimes it’s easy - Lions @ Jags +3
This one might surprise you, as it goes against the theme of this weeks picks and everything we stand for. However, not all fish get caught. There are still a few chump bets that will cash, and this is our favorite. Lions are 7-1 ATS after a bye week. Jags started the season hot and Minshew is still fun to root for, but would we really be surprised if they lose out? Not one bit.
PICK: Lions -3
Take the home dog in a toss-up - Packers @ Bucs +1
Okay, back to the tune. Hey Aaron…can you chill the fuck out? This guy is making football look way too easy. We’re sick of it. The Bucs have the defense and Raymond James has the cannons to throw Arod off his game. He usually struggles down south. Now look, I’m sure you’re not chomping at the bit to jump on the Bucs here after they probably just burned ya on TNF losing to the Bears…but it’s a new week. That’s exactly when you should jump on a team. Because nobody else is, and that’s when Vegas cashes. Packers lose their first of the season – be on the right side of history*.
PICK: Bucs +1
*Week 6
A new Hero in Dallas - Cardinals @ Cowboys +1.5
Are you ready to back the Red Rocket?! Or is it Red Rifle… either way - that’s what we are advising. The Cardinals are the new kings of the Southwest, Kyler is everyone’s favorite MVP long-shot pick, and we might have a new contender for Americas team now that Dak has gone down**. As Lee Corso would say, NOT SO FAST MY FRIENDS. Don’t you dare undermine Andy fucking Dalton. This is a guy that’s been getting knocked out of Wild Card games since Kliff Klingsbury was in diapers. The Boys get it done and Dalton shines.
PICK: Cowboys +1.5
**Remind us in 8 months to bet Dak for Comeback Player of the year
Avoid it like Corona - Football Team (Redskins) @ Giants - 3
The last NY team to win in the Meadowlands was the New York Guardians. There are plenty of decent games this weekend. DO NOT take the bait here and bet this game. On either side. Not the over, not the under. This is the game where no matter what you do it’s going to be wrong. Save yourself the regret and look right past this one.
Pick: DO NOT TOUCH
Super Bowl hangover on hold - Rams @ 49ers +3.5
Holy Trap Jesus. 95% of the public rushed to bet the on Rams early on this one. Sure they are 4-1, but those four wins were all against the abysmal NFC East. We are big believers in the Rams, just not this week, not with this line out of Vegas. 49ers are fresh off a beat down from the Dolphins and Vegas is only giving 3.5? This game screams TRAP! Fishy line, divisional opponent, on the road - checks too many boxes to pass up taking SF with the points.
PICK: 49ers +3.5
Survivor Scare of the Week - Bengals @ Colts -8
It’s official - Philip Rivers is poop! If you play fantasy football, now’s a good time to put a bid in for Brissett (2QB leagues). The clock is ticking for old man Rivers. Too much talent and good coaching in Indy. If they go down here, expect a QB change in the near future for the Colts.
Player Prop to watch for - Return of the Matt’s
We have an eye on Matt Ryan and Matt Stafford for big yardage, completions, and TD totals this weekend.
Quick Hitters:
Ravens @ Eagles +7.5 – We are taking Eagles to cover and potentially even sneak out a season saving win.
AHHHHHHHHAHAHHHHAHHHHH UNDA - Packers @ Bucs 55
Overall: 14-7
If you enjoy please share with any of you gambling buddies and subscribe below.